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Market Analysis

Lead Monitor
Mar 2010 Issue
Shifting surpluses

While lead prices have returned to familiar territory on the LME, there is still little support from lead’s own industry fundamentals.  The market remains firmly in surplus, most visible in the relentless upward march in LME stocks.

·      US market still waiting for the next step up in demand.

·      Asian ‘sponge’ absorbing most of the European excess.

Industry news

·      Glencore deal moves La Oroya smelter a step nearer to restarting.

·      Dongling smelter in Shaanxi to restart, small secondary in Sichuan closes.

·      Ivernia restarts mill at Magellan.

·      Bidding for CBH hots up between Nyrstar and Toho.

·      European car sales provide encouragement, but could soon falter.

·      Chinese vehicle sales race higher, US suffers February blip.

·      Chinese lead-acid battery exports continue to recover.

·      South Korean SLI battery exports up again in January.

Lead Monitor

Extensively researched and well written, Lead Monitor provides an ongoing analysis of industry fundamentals and market trends. It presents, on a monthly basis, an independent and objective understanding of the supply/demand balance, regional premia, fund activity and changes in stock level. Discussion of developments in the secondary lead industry is also included. Comprehensive, concise and up-to-date statistics, including primary and secondary production, stock levels and scrap prices are also an important feature of this service.

Monitor subscribers also receive:

·         LME Metals Technical Analysis – a monthly report providing technical analysis for all 6 LME metals: Copper, Aluminium, Lead, Zinc, Nickel and Tin.

·         Economic News – a monthly report analysing and summarising the latest developments in the economies of the US, Europe and Asia, and how they will impact the metals markets.

·         Oil News – a monthly report examining the latest developments in the oil market, and what impact they will have on the metals industries.

 

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